Lower Trent Conservation advises municipalities and the public that a Flood Outlook Statement has been issued for the local creeks within the Lower Trent Watershed region (area stretching from Grafton to Quinte West and from Lake Ontario to Rice Lake and east to Centre Hastings).
It is important to note that during this time high water levels, unsafe banks or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users and waterfront landowners. Nuisance flooding for some may occur within low lying and poorly drained areas.
This Flood Outlook Statement is being issued as subsequent to the Water Safety Statement issued on Thursday.
The weather forecast has been updated and notes that starting today, March 6, the watershed will likely experience continuous snowmelt with daytime air temperatures reaching a high of 13 degrees over the next week.
Additionally, these above seasonal temperatures will be accompanied by up to 30-50 millimeters of rain over the course of Friday and Saturday.
There is also the potential for thunderstorms which may result in increased precipitation in localized areas.
The remaining snowpack is dense and may be unable to absorb much of the melt or rain forecasted, accelerating the snowmelt. The above average temperatures forecast, rainfall and increased snowmelt may lead to increased runoff into local streams.
Water levels along local creeks and streams are around the average for this time of year; however, increased water levels and stream flow is expected with the forecasted rainfall and increased runoff from snowmelt.
Municipalities and the public should be aware that localized inundation is possible in urban areas where storm drains may not be able to handle the snowmelt and rainfall.
While the potential dangers presented by rivers, small streams and open ditches never cease to exist, they are of particular concern at this time of the year. Water currents are strong and temperatures dangerously cold. Parents and caregivers are advised to keep children and pets away from all waterways. Areas around dams, culverts and bridges should be avoided at all times.
This Flood Outlook Statement for local creeks and streams will be in effect until Friday March 13, 2026 at 4:00pm.
