Quinte Conservation’s Water Resources department continues to monitor the current and projected weather forecasts that will influence this spring’s freshet.
With higher-than-normal water content in the snowpack and significant ice coverage across the watershed, these conditions present a potential risk for flooding once thawing occurs.
Flood risk is predicted using data collected from meteorologic conditions (rainfall and temperature), snow coverage & ground conditions, and river and stream flow. Long-term flood outcomes are difficult to predict; however, as spring approaches and temperatures start to warm, flood forecasting accuracy greatly improves.
It is expected that this spring will include more precipitation than normal. It is possible that this spring will have a delayed and quick snowmelt causing flooding to occur. A fast melt can also cause ice to break up, mobilize, and jam – causing additional flood concerns. However, if weather conditions persist with daytime highs above zero, and freezing temperatures overnight and without rain – it is unlikely there will be a major flooding event this spring.
Although there is currently no imminent flood concern, residents can still take steps to be prepared.
Move belongings that could be damaged by water off of the basement floor and to an elevated location, test sump pumps and back-up power supplies, and plan for someone to check on your home if you are out of town.
Additionally, residents are encouraged to review Quinte Conservation’s flood information and sandbagging guide at QuinteConservation.ca and check with their municipality for emergency preparedness information.
